The Real World Order is coming out of the shadows. The evidence is mounting around us: A variant of “civil war” may be unfolding before us. A “War Behind the Headlines” spectacle? Well, why not? Everything else has been virtualized, right?
Consider – as just one example – Wall Street Apes on X: “The problem has been identified ? It’s THE NEW YORK FBI OFFICE withholding the Jeffrey Epstein Files and Epstein Tapes (The actual recordings of his clients having sex with minors) Glenn Beck, “Pam Bondi said that the Southern District of New York, the FBI and the Southern… Wait! See it? Entrenched bureaucracy thumbing its nose at elected power.
Now, if you’re not following, let’s review the path here: SD NY and FBI NY don’t want to release Epstein stuff to the elected government. It’s the Bureacracy holding back. Too many Big names in the honey pot would come out. If THAT happens, no more leverage. Blackmail only works in small increments. But if the whole herd changes….and that’s what the NE cadre has to defend against now.
We expect that the CIA and others pseudo-loyalists will side with the entrenched anti-Constitution bureaucracy because the whole “game” has been get money first into USAID and then funnel it into Soross-backed agendas and what-not. And now enough “dirty hands are in the cookie jar” that the whole Deep State War is the most clearly explanatory model around. Remember, Bureaucrats feed more of their own ilk, so deep staters in our State department fed the Deep Staters in the EU – and played by Deep State neocons who went chameleon under Buy’ed ’em. You can map this whole subterrainian warfare model with no gaps. Even provides on and off-ramps for cartels and human trafficking…oh let’s just say it’s linked and really fugly.
Ultra-complexity is a bitch to cover in 15-second sound bites. Since the mainstream is controlled anyway (via ad spending), (say plausible deniability?) you can now understand why you won’t see any of this during the slime-time snews.
Another example this week is found in the odd movement of gold. Two stories in the past week have us considering the possibility that the last gasps of embedded bureaucracies – the Real World Order – could be repositioning now in financial matters. Cryptos out? As Banks rush to fly gold bars from Europe to New York City, via commercial airlines only to be followed a few days later by asking Is It Time For The U.S. To Revalue Its Gold Reserves? Or do they fear being outed in a Knox Audit? Which SHOULD have been done with zero warning. Stupid to give it all time to get covered up. Just me getting angry, huh?
And what about all those put options on NVDA for two weeks out? Is a Chinese blockade of Taiwan pending and insiders at work? Options telling us a time-frame?
And it’s goes even deeper than this. Europe is trying to keep their bankrupt tax-and-spend scam (extra layer of bureacracy) going to operate it’s top-down domination: debating aid to Ukraine and bad-mouthing all things Trump because he’s no fool (like the last guy). They need a new victim and Russia is IT. But the reality is Europe has never fought a modern war (two so far) without requiring the U.S. to bail them out. Uncertain ground for them, so gold is what? Contingency moves for the Greedsters at the top?
Thing is, even as Zelensky to Meet Trump in Bid to Salvage U.S. Support, the other “big gun” of the Deep State OWB *(One World Bureaucracy) is being reloaded. Tariffs. Liberal media hand-wringing is becoming almost spasmodic now: Trump reciprocal tariffs: What are tariffs? Are tariffs good or bad? while looking ahead All the president’s tariff threats: What Trump is promising between now and April.
Bureaucrats ARE the One World Government. And they almost got away with it. Until Jan 20.
Micro-Crashes – For Now
No sub war would be complete without a survey of “How the dirty money” is doing. A term which harks back to 1526 translations of the Bible and perhaps is most clear in Titus 1:7: “For a bishop must be blameless, as the steward of God; not selfwilled, not soon angry, not given to wine, no striker, not given to filthy lucre.” Grok ne:
“Today, “filthy lucre” retains its biblical flavor but is often used colloquially to mean money in general (with a wink at its negative undertone) or specifically profits obtained through shady dealings—like bribery, exploitation, or crime. It’s a phrase that evokes both moral judgment and a touch of archaic charm.”
Except, the modern version of “filthy lucre” has changed hands many times. Going from Swiss numbered accounts until the Scotia line of suits back in my International Banking airline days in the Cayman Islands. From when Belize, Grand Turk, the ABC Islands, Channel banks, etc. became popular.
But even then, there was another “change of hands” in the offing as “dirty money” (for arms, drugs, sex trafficking etc.) needed a new replacement as honest government was onto the offshore money changers. Thanks in part to growing demand (Silk Road) the digital con was on.
And it’s really too early to see whether One Global Bureaucracy will keep CBDC etc. But for this morning, we’re down under $80,000 at writing time ($78,500 with a short blip down to $77,740). Buy the dip suckers likely into the weekend.
As a result, we wipe our fevered brow and remain thankful we have never had a wallet, and thus never had to check a box under penalty of perjury on a 1040. As a result (of seeing a Ponzi before the herd) we are almost entertained by stories like Bitcoin Crash: Analyst Breaks Down the Real Reason Why and Bitcoin whale ‘Spoofy’ accumulates $344M BTC as price tumbles below $90K.
Forensic economics training kicked-in here, so we checked withe Elon’s Grok3 about where the “floor” of the decline might be found:
- Short-Term Support Levels: Historically, Bitcoin tends to find support at key Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%) from its recent highs. From a peak of $109,000:
23.6% retracement: ~$83,300
38.2% retracement: ~$67,400
50% retracement: ~$54,500 These levels are often tested during corrections. If this move is a typical post-peak pullback (20-30%), Bitcoin could drop to the $75,000–$85,000 range. - Psychological and Historical Floors: Round numbers like $80,000, $70,000, or even $60,000 act as psychological barriers where buyers often step in. The $60,000–$65,000 range was a strong support zone in late 2024 before the rally, so it could serve as a deeper floor if selling pressure intensifies.
- Worst-Case Scenario: In a more severe correction (e.g., 40-50%, not uncommon in Bitcoin’s history), it could fall to $50,000–$65,000. For context, after its 2021 peak near $69,000, Bitcoin dropped over 50% to below $30,000. A similar drop from $109,000 would land it around $54,500. However, increased institutional adoption (e.g., Bitcoin ETFs) and a more mature market might cushion such a steep decline compared to past cycles.
- Sentiment and External Factors: Predictions from late 2024 suggested Bitcoin could hit $150,000–$200,000 in 2025, driven by institutional inflows and halving effects (April 2024). A drop now might reflect profit-taking or macroeconomic shifts (e.g., interest rate hikes, regulatory news). If sentiment sours significantly, a push below $50,000 isn’t impossible, though it’d likely require a major catalyst like a global financial shock.
(AI then continued) Without current charts or news, I’d estimate Bitcoin could go as low as $70,000–$80,000 in a moderate correction on this move, with $60,000 as a stronger support if momentum turns bearish. A fall below $50,000 would signal a rarer, more dramatic shift.
Still, no Bitcoin for Ure. Which is fine with us…
Yeah, about them “Dramatic Shifts”
As we have been chronicling for subscribers to our more data dense Peoplenomics.com site, there is a problem seen in how Reality is colliding again with History.
And then there’s the Ebbinghaus-Ure Correlation which has “walked the plank” like this since Monday:
We figure the odds of going down to the bottom of a 1.5X Wave 3 down before March is done are better than zero, anyway. We have been yammering about the implications of this for weeks telling you (among other things) “Look out below!”
You can lead a horse to water, but it’s cruelty to force ’em to drink. Which is why we don’t keep horses. Markets will drive us all to drink; shortly.
Fairytales! Personal Income
This is where the Big Lies, Oft Repeated are pushed out by the Bureaucrat Class. “America is not on the verge of collapse – that’s just Ure paranoia working!”
Of course, my checkbook argues otherwise, as yours may, too, reading this:
Personal income increased $221.9 billion (0.9 percent at a monthly rate) in January, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $194.3 billion (0.9 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased $30.7 billion (0.2 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—decreased $52.7 billion in January. Personal saving was $1.01 trillion in January and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 4.6 percent.
Pass the blow pipe and oggle this un:
A moment of silence in memory of Edward Everett Horton, the voice-over narrator of Fractured Fairytales.
A Side of International Trade with your has browns?
Trade deficit up more than 25% in ONE MONTH?
Advance International Trade in Goods
The international trade deficit was $153.3 billion in January, up $31.2 billion from $122.0 billion in December. Exports of goods for January were $172.2 billion, $3.3 billion more than December exports. Imports of goods for January were $325.4 billion, $34.6 billion more than December imports.
Ge, no pretty picture? (Get the barf bag). Behold, we are digging our own trade grave faster than ever!
I know “Official Numbers.” Here, grape Kool-aid, anyone?
Wholly Scrolly
Iowa returns to rational: Making up genders was a passing mania. Iowa gives final approval to a bill removing gender identity protections despite massive protests. Study the pix: A child mob (not even voting age???) is a massive protest now, is it? FMTT what happened to the adjectives like “manufactured protest” which is what this charade was? Funded by the Open Revolution Society, was it…oh, no, blinders are off. Deep State wants war? DEI and Woke are first casualties. FAFO if you don’t know what free people can do when they get sick of bullshit…
On the come-back road: Pope Francis’ condition continues to improve, Vatican says – UPI.com Conclave back on the shelf.
Wait! Is that a picture of Kim Jong Un doing planks in North Korea launches strategic cruise missiles in show of nuclear deterrence?
Climate Hysteria is being pushed-back and remarketed: US GDP Could Take a Big Hit From Climate Change by 2100, Study Shows. Yeah, and if California keeps mismanaging wildlands, shit will continue to burn. So it’s the political climate – not the one that has failed to put Manhattan underwater they must be talking about?
Re-Re-Re-Marketing of AI: ChatGPT-4.5 is here for Pro users now and Plus users next week, and I can’t wait to try it. Disclosure: We do run models on both Grok3 SuperGrok and Basic ChatGPT.
At the Ranch: Personal Supply Chain Notes
Join me – eight days back, after my 76th BD – when I bought a sleeve of five vacuum tubes for my now restored Hallicrafters SR-400 ham radio transceiver. The tubes, type 7059, (which is a 12v version of a 6U8A) are not on Amazon so you pick them up on the eBay market.
Now, as it turns out, the seller is only 50-miles away. But time is money and I didn’t have 2-hours to drive and pick them up in person in Fairfield, Texas. I relied on USPS. And that’s when the incompetence of the Coppell, Texas USPS sorting disaster got me.
As of early today (8-days to go 50 miles, remember) these (somewhat delicate) tubes have traveled like so:
Moving Through Network In Transit to Next Facility, Arriving Late
February 27, 2025 –
Arrived at USPS Regional Facility
COPPELL TX DISTRIBUTION CENTER (Dear God, not again!)
February 26, 2025, 10:33 am –
Departed USPS Regional Facility
DALLAS TX LOGISTICS CENTER
February 26, 2025, 2:59 am –
Arrived at USPS Regional Facility
DALLAS TX LOGISTICS CENTER
February 26, 2025, 1:46 am –
In Transit to Next Facility
February 25, 2025, 8:05 pm –
In Transit to Next Facility
February 25, 2025, 11:49 am –
Departed USPS Regional Facility
PHOENIX AZ DISTRIBUTION CENTER
February 25, 2025, 4:44 am –
Arrived at USPS Regional Facility
PHOENIX AZ DISTRIBUTION CENTER
February 23, 2025, 10:55 pm –
Departed USPS Facility
AVONDALE, AZ 85323
February 23, 2025, 10:28 pm –
Arrived at USPS Facility
AVONDALE, AZ 85323
February 23, 2025, 12:41 pm –
In Transit to Next Facility
February 22, 2025, 10:35 pm –
In Transit to Next Facility
February 22, 2025, 6:13 am –
In Transit to Next Facility
February 22, 2025, 6:09 am
Departed USPS Regional Facility
COPPELL TX DISTRIBUTION CENTER
February 22, 2025, 5:25 am
Arrived at USPS Regional Facility
COPPELL TX DISTRIBUTION CENTER
February 21, 2025, 3:55 am –
Accepted at USPS Origin Facility
FAIRFIELD, TX 75840
February 21, 2025, 2:40 am
Shipping Label Created, USPS Awaiting Item
FAIRFIELD, TX 75840
February 20, 2025, 3:11 pm
Well, as any damn fool can see (except ones working for the USPS in charge of making things move through COPPELL) there’s a problem. It’s not the first time.
In fact, I talked to my carrier about it and he said (without hesitation) “Yeah, we get a lot of problems with packages going through Coppell…but it should show up, sooner or later….”
50-miles in 8-days. Way to freaking go. But, like we’ve framed the downfall of modern/woke.DEI’ed/ abandoned excellence America in the past, it’s not surprising. You just pad schedules.
Second Supply nightmare? FedEx package with some equipment I put together for my doc friends who are investigating the (seems to be) fog-born illness in Florida? (not aware? “Weird” Fog Hits Florida – And Its Smell Supposedly Defies Description…) Well, smashed a signal generator to unusable.
But there was some good news! My long-time UPS driver bud just bought himself a new zero-turn super mower. “I don’t usually splurge on things for me, but after 17-years, I decided to get a damn good mower…”
“What’d you get?”
“A new Bad Boy, made up in Arkansas. Rebel XL – 61″ cut so it will fit on the trailer if I need to.”
“How much?”
“With delivery and set up about $14,500…”
We got to kicking these high-end zero turn mowers around on the 3806 ham group this morning and it occurred to me that any company making a zero-turn could boost sales by investing a “beer gator” for you can keep on mowing. (I just gave you a million dollar idea….there’s no “beer gator” on Amazon yet – just cozies and such…
Anyway, back to this $14,500 zero-turn….with the new Michelin suspension tires (Tweels)…
Holy shit!!! To hell with this writing crap. I’m sending my resume to UPS. All the while hoping that letter won’t go through the Coppell, Texas distribution center… Here all this time I thought America’s supply lined problems were with Chyna….
Still, maybe it’s God’s way of saying I need to get the yard work done and the veggies transplanted into the dirt garden before getting off into radio land, again…. (Or, it’s incompetence, but in a quasi govt outfit? Naw…how could that be?)
I did make up a PoqwerPoint for my UPS dude about the frictional history between Bad Boy and Spartan mowers, though. Reads like this:
Key points about the relationship:
Shared Founder:
Robert Foster is the central figure, having been a key part of Bad Boy Mowers before starting Spartan Mowers.
Competitive Landscape:
Both companies operate in the same market, producing high-end zero-turn mowers, leading to direct competition.
Patent Disputes:
Due to Foster’s design knowledge from his time at Bad Boy, legal battles have arisen concerning patent infringement claims between the two brands.
Either one would be a step up from my POS Craftsman rider. But, until I’m in the Central States fund…or we get a DOGE rebate…..
Write when the mail gets through…time to watch the “turn and burn…”
George@Ure.net
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